While Pakistan continues to posture militarily against India, its biggest threats are emerging from within. The country is now battling a three-front crisis—water disputes between Sindh and Punjab, escalating tensions with Afghanistan, and a raging separatist movement in Balochistan. These internal fractures could leave Pakistan too weakened to sustain any conflict with India.
1. Water Wars: Sindh vs. Punjab
India’s strategic move to revoke parts of the Indus Water Treaty has triggered chaos in Pakistan. The country’s provinces—Sindh, Punjab, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa (KP), and Balochistan—are now locked in bitter disputes over water distribution.
- Sindh accuses Punjab of diverting its share of water.
- Violent protests have erupted, with demonstrators attacking police vehicles and setting them ablaze.
- The situation has turned so dire that experts warn of a potential civil war over water scarcity.
2. Afghanistan’s Threat: Another Front Opens
Pakistan’s troubles are multiplying with Afghanistan preparing for a major strike. Following India’s diplomatic outreach to Afghanistan, fears are growing that Kabul may:
- Block water flow into Pakistan.
- Increase border tensions, further stretching Pakistan’s military resources.
3. Balochistan Rebellion: The Third Front
Balochistan, Pakistan’s largest but most restive province, is in open revolt:
- Freedom fighters are blocking roads to prevent Pakistani troops from mobilizing towards Indian borders.
- Reports of military atrocities against Baloch civilians are fueling more anger.
- The movement for independence is gaining momentum, weakening Pakistan from within.
Can Pakistan Fight India While Burning Internally?
Pakistan’s army has repeatedly suffered humiliating defeats against India (e.g., 1971 war, Balakot airstrike). Now, with three internal crises, its ability to wage war is severely compromised.
- Economic collapse and political instability add to the chaos.
- The “Ghazwa-e-Hind” dream (conquering India) seems delusional when the country is on the verge of breaking apart.
Pakistan’s aggressive rhetoric against India is nothing more than empty bravado. With Sindh revolting, Afghanistan threatening, and Balochistan fighting for freedom, the country is crumbling from within. India’s strategic moves—diplomatic pressure and water diplomacy—are proving far more effective than direct confrontation.